Reverse stress testing

Part

SYSC Senior Management Arrangements, Systems and Controls sourcebook

Chapter

Reverse stress testing

Printed on: 15/10/2024

Rulebook at: 27/10/2014

SYSC 20

Reverse stress testing

SYSC 20.1

Application and purpose

14/12/2010

Application

SYSC 20.1.1

(1) SYSC 20 applies to:

(a) a firm which is:

(i) a bank; or
(ii) a building society; or
(iii) a designated investment firm which meets any of the criteria set out in (2) on an individual basis, or in (3) on a consolidated basis; and

(b) an insurer unless it is:

(i) a non-directive friendly society; or
(ii) a Swiss general insurer; or
(iii) an EEA-deposit insurer; or
(iv) an incoming EEA firm; or
(v) an incoming Treaty firm.

(2) Subject to (4), SYSC 20 applies to a designated investment firm if:

(a) it has assets under management or administration of at least £10 billion (or the equivalent amount in foreign currency); or
(b) the total annual fee and commission income arising from its regulated activities is at least £250 million (or the equivalent amount in foreign currency); or
(c) it has assets or liabilities of at least £2 billion (or the equivalent amount in foreign currency).

(3) Subject to (4), where all of the designated investment firms within the same consolidation group or non-EEA sub-group, taken together as if they were one firm, meet any of the criteria in (2), SYSC 20 applies to each of those designated investment firms as if it individually met the inclusion criteria in (2).
(4) Any designated investment firm which is included within the scope of SYSC 20 in accordance with (2) or (3) in any given year will continue to be subject to SYSC 20 for the following two years irrespective of whether or not it continues to meet the inclusion criteria in any of those subsequent years.

01/04/2014

Purpose

SYSC 20.1.3

This chapter contains rules on reverse stress testing, which require a firm to identify and assess events and circumstances that would cause its business model to become unviable. This chapter also requires the firm's senior management or governing body to review and approve the results of the reverse stress testing exercise. This should help the firm's senior management to identify the firm's vulnerabilities and design a strategy to prevent or mitigate the risk of business failure.

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SYSC 20.1.4

The reverse stress testing requirements are an integral component of a firm's business planning and risk management under SYSC. For BIPRU firms as referred to in SYSC 20.1.1R (1)(a), this chapter amplifies SYSC 7.1.1 G to SYSC 7.1.8 G on risk control. For insurers as referred to in SYSC 20.1.1R (1)(b), this chapter amplifies SYSC 14.1.17 G to SYSC 14.1.25 G on business planning and risk management.

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SYSC 20.2

Reverse stress testing requirements

14/12/2010

SYSC 20.2.1

As part of its business planning and risk management obligations under SYSC, a firm must reverse stress test its business plan; that is, it must carry out stress tests and scenario analyses that test its business plan to failure. To that end, the firm must:

(1) identify a range of adverse circumstances which would cause its business plan to become unviable and assess the likelihood that such events could crystallise; and
(2) where those tests reveal a risk of business failure that is unacceptably high when considered against the firm's risk appetite or tolerance, adopt effective arrangements, processes, systems or other measures to prevent or mitigate that risk.

01/04/2013

SYSC 20.2.2

Where the firm is a member of:

(1) an insurance group, in respect of which it is required to maintain group capital;
(2) a UK consolidation group; or
(3) a non-EEA sub-group;

it must conduct the reverse stress test on a solo basis as well as on a consolidated basis in relation to the insurance group, the UK consolidation group or the non-EEA sub-group, as the case may be.

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SYSC 20.2.3

The design and results of a firm's reverse stress test must be documented and reviewed and approved at least annually by the firm's senior management or governing body. A firm must update its reverse stress test more frequently if it is appropriate to do so in the light of substantial changes in the market or in macroeconomic conditions.

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SYSC 20.2.4

(1) Business plan failure in the context of reverse stress testing should be understood as the point at which the market loses confidence in a firm and this results in the firm no longer being able to carry out its business activities. Examples of this would be the point at which all or a substantial portion of the firm's counterparties are unwilling to continue transacting with it or seek to terminate their contracts, or the point at which the firm's existing shareholders are unwilling to provide new capital. Such a point may be reached well before the firm's financial resources are exhausted.
(2) The appropriate regulator may request a firm to quantify the level of financial resources which, in the firm's view, would place it in a situation of business failure should the identified adverse circumstances crystallise.
(3) In carrying out the stress tests and scenario analyses required by SYSC 20.2.1 R, a firm should at least take into account each of the sources of risk identified in accordance with GENPRU 1.2.30R (2).

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SYSC 20.2.5

Reverse stress testing should be appropriate to the nature, size and complexity of the firm's business and of the risks it bears. Where reverse stress testing reveals that a firm's risk of business failure is unacceptably high, the firm should devise realistic measures to prevent or mitigate the risk of business failure, taking into account the time that the firm would have to react to these events and implement those measures. As part of these measures, a firm should consider if changes to its business plan are appropriate. These measures, including any changes to the firm's business plan, should be documented as part of the results referred to in SYSC 20.2.3 R.

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SYSC 20.2.6

In carrying out its reverse stress testing, a firm should consider scenarios in which the failure of one or more of its major counterparties or a significant market disruption arising from the failure of a major market participant, whether or not combined, would cause the firm's business to fail.

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SYSC 20.2.7

(1) The appropriate regulator may request a firm to submit the design and results of its reverse stress tests and any subsequent updates as part of its risk assessment.
(2) In the light of the results of a firm's reverse stress tests, the appropriate regulator may require the firm to implement specific measures to prevent or mitigate the risk of business failure where that risk is not sufficiently mitigated by the measures adopted by the firm in accordance with SYSC 20.2.1 R, and the firm's potential failure poses an unacceptable risk to the appropriate regulator's statutory objectives.
(3) The appropriate regulator recognises that not every business failure is driven by lack of financial resources and will take this into account when reviewing a firm's reverse stress test design and results.

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